How to Play

01. Make your best guess

Three questions a day about what real people told us on video. No searching, just your read on people. One guess each.

Q1 / 3Hunch

In France, what share of households are very confident their budget will improve within six months?

02. See how close you were

We reveal the real number and how many points off you were. Within 5 is green, within 12 is yellow. Open the proof to see the program, the count and the analysis it came from.

Q1 / 3Hunch

What share of households say they are cutting back on grocery staples?

You guessed40%
Answer23%Affordability tracker · all participants
You landed

Far off17 pts too high

More than 12 points out. People surprise.

Where you landed

03. Share your score

Your score is the total points you were off across all three. Lower is better, zero is perfect. Share it and find out who reads people best.

Hunch
  • Question 1: Affordability, answered
  • Question 2: Affordability, answered
  • Question 3: AI & shopping, answered
Example
Score

23pts

Sharp

Points off across all three questions. Lower is better.

You vs. the real number
Questions
  1. In France, what share of households are very confident their budget will improve within six months?You 25% · Real 14%11over
  2. What share of households say they are cutting back on grocery staples?You 30% · Real 23%7over
  3. What share of AI users trust friends and family when buying something?You 55% · Real 60%5under

An example day

What is Hunch?

Hunch is a daily guessing game about people. Every question comes from Conveo Foundations: always-on research programs where an AI interviewer talks with thousands of real people on video, in six countries, every two weeks.

Each day you get three questions. Guess what share of people said it, then see the real number and exactly where it came from. Nothing is estimated, rounded for effect or made up.

Where the questions come from

Three Foundations programs. New interviews every fortnight.

Explore Foundations

Questions about the questions

Are these numbers real?

Yes. Each answer is a count of coded interview answers from a Conveo Foundations program, computed in a Conveo analysis session. The reveal shows the count, who was asked, the date it was computed and the analysis id, so anyone with access can check it.

Who was asked?

Adults in the US, UK, Brazil, France, India and Germany taking part in a Foundations program. The AI questions come from a sample of AI users (95% had used ChatGPT in the previous three months), which is why those questions say “AI users”.

How does scoring work?

Your score is the total number of percentage points you were off across the three questions. Lower is better and zero is perfect. A guess within 5 points shows green, within 12 yellow.

Where are my results saved?

Only in this browser. There are no accounts and nothing about your guesses is sent anywhere.

What is Conveo?

Conveo runs AI-moderated video interviews for researchers. Foundations is its set of always-on programs on health, household money and AI, with fresh interviews every two weeks.